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www.tarataratara.net

 TRANSITION TOWNS 

see also TBU_ECO*

 

whatever happed to the Future ...?

 

 

 

- responding to the twin challenges of Peak Oil and Climate Change in a positive way - ie / so that peoples live get better , not worse

   and anyone thinking of setting up a " Belfast -Transition Town " Group ...?

   see http://transitiontowns.org/Main/HomePage

 


 

 

Here is a very good compilation of excerpts from documentaries on Climate
Change and Peak Oil (created by a community in NZ).

http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-1997396102874907674&hl=en

This shortsighted/ arrogant view of "progress" is what has lead the Irish Government at a time of recession to "ringfence" funding for roads (as stated last Thursday by Minister Dempsey) when oil is around $132, unemployment is rising dramatically and the cost of living is rising significantly.

As can be seen in Meath and throughout Ireland this "growth at all costs" mentality putting "roads instead of people first" leads to neglect of water, sewerage, health and education services - and of course unnecessary destruction of our ancient heritage.

The key to the oil situation is China. They are reducing their consumption during the olympics even by shutting down factories however they will need to greatly increase production after the olympics in order to maintain their growth. Thus most likely resulting in bigger oil imports and further higher prices. But if their growth cannot be maintained then oil price could stabilise for another few months.

However Peak Oil is already here in terms of the rest of the worlds experience with power outages: http://www.energybulletin.net/node/45942


thanks
Tadhg

 

64: Peak Oil prediction by EnergyInsights - unqiue analysis and insights


11-08-2007

EnergyInsights.net team

We have performed an analysis of the historical production of all oil producing countries. We then went through every country and have predicted the actual maximum reasonable production rate they can achieve from mid 2007 until 2012 - using our expert knowledge. We then overlay the EIA official global oil demand forecast issued in July 2007. What we came up with was a surprising and one could describe as disturbing imbalance - starting this year. The gap between supply and demand widens from early 2007 onwards. Global oil production peaks at 83 million bbls/day in 2010 to 2012 and stays more of less flat for a 3-5 year period. Meanwhile, demand is forecast to rise by the EIA by an additional 1.37 million bbls/day from 2006 up until 2010, and then an additional 1.32 million bbls/day after 2010 up until 2015 - using current GDP projections and economic forecasts.China andIndia will drive the oil demand growth. Demand in the Middle East, other Asian countries andAfrica also grow fast.

Obviously this imbalance implies oil prices will shoot up – probably to $100/bbl and then $125/bbl – which would then start to constrain demand - but we believe it will require oil prices well over $100/bbl to have a material impact on demand. Transport fuels (diesel) is a key driver - and there is no reasonable alternative to the combustion engine at present. 

http://www.energyinsights.net/cgi-script/csArticles/articles/000025/002596.htm

 

letters

 

Shawn Gainer    18/07/08

Here's a copy of one I sent this morning:


Dear Minister Dempsey,

I am writing to ask whether a person in your esteemed position can see the sanity in pouring the Republic of Ireland's presently shrinking resources
into a twice-tolled motorway (the M3) while the Navan Rail line remains derelict. Are people going to keep driving and paying heavy tolls even as petrol prices remain at historic highs?
As you are likely aware, political instability in the Middle East and rising demand for petroleum from China and India will keep petrol prices from falling. People all over the world are now scrambling to find ways to reduce their petrol consumption, for petroleum dependence is no longer economically viable. Improved rail and coach service be of economic benefit to Meath commuters and help the Republic stay within EU carbon output limits.
Of course, enactment of the MMP would also ease some of the terrible angst that the M3 has caused throughout Ireland and the Diaspora. Advocating enactment of the MMP could earn you an honored place in history.

Sincerely,
Shawn M. Gainer
Cumberland, MD USA

--- carmeldiviney <carmeldiviney@eircom.net> wrote:

> Hi all,
>
> In view of the seriousness of the recent Meath Post
> article re: the
> rail line, I am looking to get a letter writing
> campaign underway
> immediately to Noel Dempsey. Please use this or your
> own wording and
> email or post to
>
> minister@transport.ie
>
> The Department Of Transport,
> Transport House,
> Kildare St,
> Dublin 2.
>
> Obviously there is no need to stress how URGENT this
> is so please do
> it asap. I think that letters would be better than
> emails but
> whatever you can :) Thanks.
>
>
>
>
>
> Dear Minister Dempsey,
>
> I am writing to demand that the Meath Master Plan,
> details of which
> you are already aware of, be implemented
> immediately. There is no
> valid reason for any further delay in its
> implementation as benefits
> to our Economy, Environment and Heritage far
> outweigh any benefits
> percieved in the current plan. I look forward to
> hearing from you
> soon.
>
>
>
> Yours sincerely,
>

 


 

author by Tara Tara Tarapublication date Luan Iúil 21, 2008 19:26Report this post to the editors

Meath Master Plan people were handing out flyers today and holding banners aloft at Government Buildings Merrion Square.

We Havn't Gone Away You Know!
We Havn't Gone Away You Know!

Related Link: http://www.meathmasterplan.com

http://www.indymedia.ie/article/87436&comment_limit=0&condense_comments=

 

     




Transition Towns in other places -

 

 


POST OFFICES   UK but still relevant to Transition Towns

It is no good anybody from the major political parties ringing their hands
and saying how dreadful that Glastonbury is losing the Windmill Hill Post
Office, or that Britain as a whole is losing so many, when their parties
support the EU. These closures are a direct result of EU policy which we
cannot opt out of, and that is known full well no matter what the rhetoric
for public consumption may be.

Neither will any community action help (though I think it is very sensible
to see what other provision can be made) because the decisions are out of
our hands, as are many others.

I append a potted history, courtesy of Newton Abbot UKIP. (And on the
subject of stereotyping, UKIP are not 'right wing', 'Daily Mail readers',
prototypical fascists or whatever comforting self-deception is current, but
ordinary people waking up to the lies.)

Best

Michael

PS You won't get very far with planners these days either - their hands are
tied by endless EU legislation.

"Up until the late 1990's Royal Mail had a monopoly of the British postal
service. Because of that it was able to provide a universal delivery and
collection service, common to all, regardless of where you lived in Britain.
There were twice-daily deliveries and collections and, even in the smallest
hamlets, a Post Office could be found. The whole thing worked beautifully.

The profitable urban and city services off-set the less profitable rural and
countryside operations. Like the village pub and the bobby on the beat, the
network of Post Offices throughout the United Kingdom became an integral
part of British life AND MADE A PROFIT! It was, quite literally, the best
and most reliable postal service in the world.

The European Union (EU), however, has an obsession with imposing competition
regardless of whether or not a national monopoly, like the Royal Mail, is
beneficial and works. In 1997, after publishing a press dossier on
'competition rules to the postal sector', the EU Directive 97/67/EC
'Privatisation of Postal Services' introduced an EU-wide postal service.
This was completely at odds with the unique British system. What to do?
Quite simply, the Royal Mail had to go. This was achieved by gradually and
secretly dismantling it.

The first step was the imposition of Directive 97/67/EC which reduced the
Royal Mail's monopoly to mail weighing less than 350 grammes. All other
areas were made available to privatisation. This opened the door wide for
public sector companies, mainly the Dutch TNT and German Deutsche Post, DHL,
to cherry-pick the profitable areas, leaving the less profitable to the
Royal Mail.

More damage was inflicted with a second EU Directive 2002/39/EC calling for
a 'step-by-step approach to further market-opening'. In non EU-speak this
meant a further chunk of Royal Mail business being made accessible to the
private companies. Within less than a decade the once profitable Royal Mail
and its Post Office network was fractured and losing money.

To add still further to its woes, British politicians withdrew areas of
business from the Post Offices. Among other changes, pensioners were nudged
into having pensions paid into bank accounts and the purchase of TV licences
was taken away from Post Offices.

Amazingly, the private postal companies can require Royal Mail to handle
post on their behalf at a price to them of up to 9 pence a package cheaper
than 2nd class charges. In reality this means the Royal Mail and the British
taxpayer are subsidising the competition. Not surprisingly this arrangement
has resulted in an 86% loss of profitability for the Royal Mail in the first
half of 2006/07.

Westminster has been forced to seek EU approval to subsidise Post Offices to
keep them open, albeit temporarily. Approval has come at a heavy price. In a
letter (C(2007)5623final 28.11.07) to David Miliband, Neelie Kroes, EU
Competition Commissioner, stipulated 'the transformation programme (subsidy)
will involve reducing the Post Office network by around 2,500'. The subsidy
is further restricted by EU 'state aid' rules and cannot continue
indefinitely. It must end soon. What happens then? No-one is saying.

In October 2007, the Minister for Employment Relations and Postal Affairs,
Pat McFadden, when asked at a meeting at the Local Government Offices in
Smith Square, London if he could guarantee that the current programme of
closures would be the last, stated that he 'could not say that'.

The EU has set 2009 as the year 'for the full accomplishment of the internal
market for postal services' (art.14, EU Direct. 2002/39/EC). This means
that, within less than twelve years, the destruction of the Royal Mail will
be virtually complete and all achieved with the British public blissfully
unaware of what has been really happening and why.

New Labour, the Conservative and Liberal Democrat parties are all committed
to Britain remaining in the European Union and subject to rule from
Brussels, even if it means that, for yet another area of British life, the
Royal Mail and its Post Offices, there is no future. That's how the EU and
British politicians destroyed the Royal Mail."